Dubai market evidence

Off-Plan vs Ready Property in Al Barsha South Fourth

How off-plan and ready (existing) prices compare inside Al Barsha South Fourth in the historical DLD transaction record — and how that gap differs from Dubai as a whole.

Al Barsha South Fourth — the numbers

Off-plan median

10,566 AED/sqm

54% of sampled sales

Ready (existing) median

9,053 AED/sqm

46% of sampled sales

Off-plan vs ready

+17%

Dubai overall: +65%

Sampled transactions

14,319

What the Al Barsha South Fourth gap means

Across 14,319 sampled sales in Al Barsha South Fourth, off-plan carries a median of 10,566 AED/sqm against 9,053 AED/sqm for ready stock — an off-plan median roughly 17% above ready units. Citywide the same comparison sits at +65%, so Al Barsha South Fourth runs 48 percentage points narrower than Dubai overall.

Comparing within a single area removes most of the location mix effect that distorts the citywide figure, but not all of it: off-plan launches inside Al Barsha South Fourth may still skew toward newer towers or larger layouts than the resale stock they are measured against. Narrow further by unit type before treating this as a like-for-like premium.

Off-plan (54% of sampled transactions here) is bought from a developer before or during construction, typically on a payment plan, carrying handover and delivery risk. Ready property (46%) is an existing unit that can be inspected and let immediately.

This is sales transaction evidence only and ends 2023-03-17. It is market reference, not valuation or investment advice.

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